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TOPIC | Mail

Not-cat with a charc cloudpoint longhair coatpiebald / C6 white markings neutral eyes. Light Fantail Pigeon CouncilLight Feather TailpieceRunestone PendantLight Rock Anklets

Friend

Catville

(They/She/One)

account age 7/9

Feb 1, 2023 1:04:56
How much mail should I be getting?

I have 14 of travelers, and I seem to be getting just as much as I got with only one or two travelers. I got one mail the first day of all these travelers, then none yesterday and none today.
Not-cat with a black mackerel longhair coatbib, boots, & belly / C4 white markings stern eyes. Dark Hunter's BootsDark Left Eye ScarLight QuiverDark Hunter's CoatDark Hunter's ScarfDark Hunter's Tail CozyLight CrossbowDark Hunter's Hat

Darkfang8901

Thunder

(they/them)

account age 8/9

Feb 1, 2023 3:36:18
I did this math a while ago

The probability of getting *at least* one letter is
1 - ((15/16)^N)
Where N is Number of travelling cats
With 1 cat that is a 0.0625 chance (~6%)
With 5 cats that is 0.276 (~27%)
With 10 cats that is 0.476 (~47%)
With 20 cats that is 0.725 (~72%)
With 30 cats that is 0.856 (~85%)
With 40 cats that is 0.924 (~92%)
With 50 cats that is 0.960 (~96%)
With 100 cats that is 0.998 (~99%)

So atm you’re around a ~60% chance of at least one letter, so it’s not abnormal to get zero letters at this point.
I have 23 travelling cats, so closer to an 80% chance, and I still get days where I get zero letters. It happens. Every day is a new RNG roll
screaming Call me Dark screaming
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